Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 56.502234 64.416440 72.581898 81.602496 91.255845 101.246087 112.335976
2025-04-27 45.372917 56.715226 69.014858 83.205033 98.993279 115.900383 135.256830
2025-05-04 37.585366 50.585856 65.239907 82.694244 102.650798 124.517292 150.056429
2025-05-11 31.480767 45.470070 61.815721 81.843394 105.281233 131.453861 162.517816
2025-05-18 27.382185 42.187692 60.049599 82.470486 109.218926 139.548331 176.005159
2025-05-25 23.478420 38.683112 57.631019 81.982223 111.567867 145.592024 186.963863
2025-06-01 20.540551 36.091293 56.066776 82.289667 114.662763 152.347626 198.619095
2025-06-08 17.514546 33.046325 53.660524 81.326567 116.039421 156.939137 207.639394
2025-06-15 15.747316 31.568499 53.144199 82.618499 120.072826 164.615146 220.232743
2025-06-22 14.238314 30.301174 52.786510 84.016961 124.167653 172.319785 232.835850
2025-06-29 12.210534 28.023151 50.881839 83.264594 125.466383 176.570202 241.271351
2025-07-06 10.074849 25.309962 48.171660 81.282215 125.077291 178.663911 247.041331
2025-07-13 9.540279 25.211466 49.210905 84.377444 131.250991 188.909818 262.775794
2025-07-20 8.727076 24.542307 49.362234 86.233197 135.818061 197.184760 276.156779
2025-07-27 7.422786 22.823277 47.831152 85.676881 137.178204 201.428544 284.599207
2025-08-03 6.210271 21.088902 46.150640 84.813325 138.061138 205.023851 292.212230
2025-08-10 5.441326 20.108584 45.569700 85.452934 140.898110 211.055447 302.811209
2025-08-17 4.552724 18.725035 44.247701 84.954404 142.161367 215.061255 310.888024
2025-08-24 3.905132 17.750141 43.519787 85.268378 144.484342 220.395025 320.603097
2025-08-31 3.144662 16.341121 41.963961 84.284724 144.988750 223.364506 327.349417
2025-09-07 2.786899 15.864106 41.964986 85.604210 148.636178 230.375188 339.156287
2025-09-14 2.477906 15.453108 42.049856 87.032302 152.426410 237.572949 351.209826
2025-09-21 1.959246 14.301357 40.733756 86.264019 153.129645 240.741859 358.181106